The Jason Smith Show
9:00pm to 1:00am
On-Air » Blogs
Connect
Blogs

My Wild Card Predictions

Friday, Jan, 3 2014

Wild Card Game 1:  #5 Kansas City @ #4 Indianapolis in the AFC (Saturday, 3:30 CST)

For those that listen to my show, you know that Indy is my Super Bowl pick in the AFC.  The NFL is quarterback driven with everyone keeping an eye on who makes that “next step.”  I think it’s Andrew Luck.  With wins over San Francisco (road), Denver, and Kansas City (road) in the regular season, they showed they can win.  Not buying Kansas City.  Two teams met in Week 16 in Kansas City and the result was an Indy blowout.  I am expecting the same Saturday.

Indy over KC 31-17

Wild Card Game 2: #6 New Orleans @ #3 Philadelphia in the NFC (Saturday, 7:00 CST)

Last year in December, I made my black sharpie lock of 2013: “The Saints would win the NFC.”  Wow, that looked good until December.  New Orleans is NOT the same team on the road.  Carolina’s Week 16 win over the Saints did the entire NFC (outside of Seattle) a favor.  Philly can be “that team” this year.  They have a hot QB, the best RB in the NFL this year, and a defense that has been vastly overrated.  I think the Eagles win…BUT, you can’t erase black sharpie.

New Orleans over Philly 34-31

Wild Card Game 3: #6 San Diego @ #3 Cincinnati in the NFC (Sunday, 12:00 CST)

Who was the only team to go unbeaten in 2013 against 2013 playoff teams?  OK, the placement of this question SHOULD lead you to answer Cincinnati.  AND YOU’RE RIGHT!  They were a perfect 4-0 (NE, IND, SD, & GB).  I like them.  Defensively they are stout and can mix it up to confuse Brady/Manning/Luck.  Offensively, if Andy Dalton “manages the game” (which is what ALL QBs DO at the root of the position), Cincinnati should breeze AND have a shot at making the AFC Championship Game.  San Diego was 5-2 against 2013 playoff teams this year.  They are no push over.  BUT, conditions and start time (10 AM west coast), I give the nod to the Bengals.

Cincinnati over San Diego 24-16

Wild Card Game 4: #5 San Francisco @ #4 Green Bay in the NFC (Sunday, 3:40 CST)

I let the cat out of the bag yesterday, I am taking the Packers.  Yes, I work in Green Bay.  No, I am not a homer.  People think I am a Bear fan, to be honest (I am a fan of Cutler’s wife, that’s it).  I think it boils down to one thing: Rodgers > Kaepernick.  Simple.  I know CK has torched the Packers, but I don’t have confidence in him to do it again.  Turnovers.  If the Packers defense continues to be a sieve BUT can force a couple of miscues, that can even out.  Eddie Lacy is a key component, too.  Can he tip the scales?

Green Bay over San Francisco 27-23

posted by: The Home Stretch with Justin Hull 8 month(s) ago Comment On This Post


3 Reasons the Packers Can Win Sunday

Thursday, Jan, 2 2014

Please make sure you read the headline; “3 Reasons the Packers Can Win Sunday.” CAN!  Not will, CAN!  Which, yes, I am predicting them beat the 49ers but there are a lot of pessimistic Packer fans thinking it’s a sure W…that is what I am combating. 

I think it comes down to these three big factors.  If they happen, they win.  If not, they could lose by 27.
Take a look and let me know what you think.

#1.) Turnovers: 

In the first 10-games this year, the Packers defense forced just 9-turnovers.  In the final 6-games, they forced 13.  CB Davon House told me numerous times throughout the year on "In the Huddle" that turnovers are contagious.  He was right.  Turnovers are game changing plays and Aaron Rodgers is one of the best at cashing in on another team’s miscues.  If the Packers can win the turnover battle Sunday, it will be a big step towards the Divisional Round.

#2.) Run Game: 

The 49ers have boasted one of the best run games in the league over the last few years.  This year, the Packers have caught up.  Last year, and even the season opener, the Packers run game was light years behind where it is today.  With the emergence of Eddie Lacy and James Starks throughout the season, Green Bay can put up a fight in a ground-and-pound style of football.  Plus, with the weather, this could be a big difference with the Packers fighting the elements against Atlanta and Pittsburgh in December while San Francisco’s worse conditions were a 40-degree day in Washington in late November.

#3.) Aaron Rodgers:

This one is simple.  Aaron Rodgers > Colin Kaepernick.    The emotional boost that the Packers received from Rodgers return could be HUGE for Green Bay.  The Packers QB showed signs of rust last week against Chicago but once the 4th quarter came, everyone was reminded why he is one of the best.  As long as #12 is playing, the Packers have a shot at beating ANYONE.

I’ll take the Packers 27-23 in this one.  The Packers must win the turnover battle, Eddie Lacy/James Starks need to produce AND Aaron Rodgers has to be Aaron Rodgers.  If those three things happen, the Packers win.  I think they do.

posted by: The Home Stretch with Justin Hull 8 month(s) ago Comment On This Post


Beat Baker - Bad Badger Picks (Week 15 Results)

Tuesday, Dec, 10 2013

Every Thursday, one WSCO Listener will have the chance to pick 5 games against the spread on the weekend slate.  Thier record will be put up against Baker's from Bad Badger Sports Bar for a chance to win a Gift Card from Bad Badger Sports Bar.

If you beat Baker, you win a $25 Gift Card.  If you tie Baker, you win a $10 Gift Card.

Week 15 Results and another $25 going to the listeners!

Baker of Bad Badger Picks: (2-3)
#7 Stanford @ #11 Arizona State (-2.5): Pick was ASU - WRONG
#3 Auburn vs #5 Missouri (pick em):  Pick was Auburn - RIGHT
Atlanta @ Green Bay (pickem): Pick was Atlanta - WRONG
Cleveland @ New England (-11.5): Pick was NE - WRONG
Minnesota @ Baltimore (-6.5):  Pick was Minny - RIGHT

Listener Bill in Neenah (4-1)

#2 Ohio State (-5.5) vs #10 Michigan State: Pick was MSU- RIGHT
#20 Duke vs #1 Florida State (-29.5).: Pick was Duke - WRONG
Seattle @ San Francisco (-2.5): Pick was SEA - RIGHT
Dallas @ Chicago (PICK): Pick was Chicago - RIGHT
Tennessee @ Denver (12.5): Pick was Denver - RIGHT

Yearly Standings:
Baker 2-8-5
Listener 8-2-5

posted by: The Home Stretch with Justin Hull 9 month(s) ago Comment On This Post


Beat Baker - Bad Badger Picks (Week 14 Results)

Tuesday, Dec, 3 2013

Every Thursday, one WSCO Listener will have the chance to pick 5 games against the spread on the weekend slate.  Thier record will be put up against Baker's from Bad Badger Sports Bar for a chance to win a Gift Card from Bad Badger Sports Bar.

If you beat Baker, you win a $25 Gift Card.  If you tie Baker, you win a $10 Gift Card.

Week 13 Results, Baker chalks up another loss...

Baker of Bad Badger Picks: (1-4)

Arkansas (-24.5) @LSU: Pick was LSU - WRONG
Ohio State (-14.5) @ Michigan:  Pick was Michigan - RIGHT
Green Bay @ Detroit (-4.5): Pick was GBP - WRONG
Oakland @ Dallas (-9.5): Pick was DAL - WRONG
New England (-7.5) @ Houston:  Pick was NE - WRONG

Listener Billy in Kaukauna (5-0)

Penn State @ Wisconsin (-24.5): Pick was PSU - RIGHT
Alabama (-10.5) @ Auburn.: Pick was Auburn - RIGHT
Tampa Bay @ Carolina (-8.5): Pick was CAR - RIGHT
Chicago @ Minnesota (PICK): Pick was Minnesota- RIGHT
Denver (-4.5) @ Kansas City: Pick was Denver - RIGHT

Yearly Standings:
Baker 2-7-5
Listener 7-2-5

posted by: The Home Stretch with Justin Hull 9 month(s) ago Comment On This Post


Beat Baker - Bad Badger Picks (Week 13 Results)

Tuesday, Nov, 26 2013

Every Thursday, one WSCO Listener will have the chance to pick 5 games against the spread on the weekend slate.  Thier record will be put up against Baker's from Bad Badger Sports Bar for a chance to win a Gift Card from Bad Badger Sports Bar.

If you beat Baker, you win a $25 Gift Card.  If you tie Baker, you win a $10 Gift Card.

Week 13 Results, Baker chalks up another loss...

Baker of Bad Badger Picks: (2-3)

Wisconsin (-16.5) @ Minnesota: Pick was UW - WRONG
Texas A&M @ LSU (-4.5):  Pick was A&M - WRONG
Tampa Bay @ Detroit (-8.5): Pick was TB - RIGHT
Denver (-2.5) @ Pittsburgh: Pick was NE - RIGHT
Dallas @ New York Giants (-2.5):  Pick was NYG - WRONG

Listener Jeff in Appleton (3-2)

Nebraska @ Penn State (-1.5): Pick was PSU - WRONG
Baylor (-9.5) @ OK St.: Pick was OK State - RIGHT
New Orleans (-8.5) @ Atlanta: Pick was ATL - RIGHT
Minny @ Green Bay (-5.5): Pick was GBP - WRONG
Chicago @ STL (-1.5): Pick was STL - RIGHT

Yearly Standings:
Baker 2-6-5
Listener 6-2-5

posted by: The Home Stretch with Justin Hull 10 month(s) ago Comment On This Post


LATEST BLOGS
"Nascar Green Flag and Sonoma Raceway 2 photo D Ramey Logan" by WPPilot - Own work. Licensed under CC BY-SA…
posted by Justin Hull 3 days ago
Mike Woods got it done in a week where everyone else stunk.  J.P Cadorin and Brett Christopherson were the only…
posted by Justin Hull 4 days ago
"Peyton Manning (cropped)" by Jeffrey Beall - Cropped from File:Peyton Manning - Broncos.jpg. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia…
posted by Justin Hull 5 days ago