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Thu, January 10, 2013

Packers as an underdog, a good bet (for entertainment purposes only)

I start this by saying I am not giving any gambling advice whatsoever.  This is a mere look at the numbers, and numbers don't always equal wins.  Just ask Cubs fans...

The Green Bay Packers enter Saturday Night's Divisional Playoff Game in San Francisco a 3-point underdog.  As Mike Vandermause of the Green Bay Press Gazette pointed out yesterday, it's a spot the Packers don't mind being in.

It is also a spot, by definition of a "Vegas underdog," the Packers have not spent much time in recently.  When they have been there, the people that have believed in them have been rewarded.  Here is a look at the numbers for Green Bay as an underdog.

- As Vandermause pointed out, the Packers 1-1 this year as an underdog, both outright and against the spread.
- Over the last 3-years, the Packers are 6-2 against the spread as an underdog and 5-3 overall.
- Since 1992, the Packers are 62-47 against the spread when an underdog.
- How about the playoffs?  In the last 3-years, the Packers are 5-1 against the spread in the post season and have the same record straight up.
- Revenge factor?  In the last 3-years, Green Bay has a 6-1 record straight up in games against a team that beat them earlier in the year.  They are 5-2 against the spread in those games.  Since 1992, the Packers are 48-29 straight up in revenge games.
- Saturday night also belongs to the Packers.  Since 1992, the Packers won 10 of the 11 games they have played on Saturday's with an 8-2-1 mark against the spread.

Again, this is not gambling advice, it is for entertainment purposes only.  The 49ers probably have trends that would show they are in a good spot, too.  It's just a look at the numbers for Green Bay in a position that they have not spent a lot of time in, as the underdog.

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